Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000158 0.000175 0.000193 0.000214 0.000238 0.000263 0.000293
2025-09-07 0.000127 0.000152 0.000180 0.000215 0.000259 0.000310 0.000376
2025-09-14 0.000110 0.000138 0.000173 0.000220 0.000280 0.000358 0.000464
2025-09-21 0.000095 0.000124 0.000162 0.000216 0.000289 0.000388 0.000532
2025-09-28 0.000082 0.000111 0.000150 0.000207 0.000290 0.000405 0.000583
2025-10-05 0.000075 0.000105 0.000147 0.000210 0.000305 0.000444 0.000669
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000101 0.000146 0.000215 0.000324 0.000490 0.000770
2025-10-19 0.000064 0.000094 0.000140 0.000212 0.000329 0.000515 0.000841
2025-10-26 0.000060 0.000091 0.000137 0.000215 0.000344 0.000555 0.000942
2025-11-02 0.000055 0.000086 0.000132 0.000212 0.000349 0.000582 0.001022
2025-11-09 0.000052 0.000082 0.000129 0.000212 0.000359 0.000615 0.001118
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000078 0.000125 0.000210 0.000364 0.000641 0.001203
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000072 0.000118 0.000203 0.000360 0.000652 0.001265
2025-11-30 0.000041 0.000069 0.000116 0.000203 0.000371 0.000692 0.001390
2025-12-07 0.000040 0.000067 0.000115 0.000208 0.000389 0.000747 0.001558
2025-12-14 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000391 0.000771 0.001660
2025-12-21 0.000034 0.000059 0.000105 0.000196 0.000384 0.000776 0.001719
2025-12-28 0.000032 0.000058 0.000104 0.000199 0.000399 0.000828 0.001898
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000057 0.000104 0.000203 0.000419 0.000895 0.002122
2026-01-11 0.000029 0.000054 0.000101 0.000200 0.000421 0.000921 0.002251
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000053 0.000100 0.000203 0.000436 0.000979 0.002471
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000201 0.000440 0.001011 0.002626
2026-02-01 0.000026 0.000049 0.000096 0.000201 0.000449 0.001056 0.002828